Tuesday, May 7, 2013

State of the states: 2012 Real Growth

So I'm having a bit of fun looking at how various states fared in 2012.  I'm taking the Gallup poll for state of the states to find out which states are the most conservative and the most liberal.  I'm going to compare on a variety of factors.  The first one is real growth from US Government Spending.  So let's take a look.

Conservative
Average state: 39.04
Median state: 39.2

Every state with a score of 39.2 and up are included as the most conservative states.  Below 39.04 we are including on the least conservative states. 

Most Conservative states:
Real Growth average: 2.27
Median: 2.15
Highest: 6.4 (North Dakota)
Lowest: 0.8 (Wyoming)

Least Conservative States:
Real Growth Average: 2.248
Median: 2.2
Highest: 4.4 (Oregon)
Lowest: 1.2 (New Jersey)

Liberal
Average state: 22.08
Median state: 20.9

Every state with a score of 20.9 or higher are the "most liberal" states and under 20.9 are considered "least conservative".

Most liberal states:
Real growth average: 2.21
Median: 2.2
Highest: 4.4 (Oregon)
Lowest 1.2 (New Jersey)

Least liberal states:
Real growth average: 2.308
Median: 2.1
Highest: 6.4 (North Dakota)
Lowest: 0.8 (Wyoming)
Taking away North Dakota, which was a true outlier due to the flooding of jobs/economic growth due to a boom in the energy sector from the most conservative states, the real growth average is 2.108 and the median becomes 2.1.  This is compared to the least conservative states (I took out Oregon for being somewhat of an outlier) at 2.158.  If we do the same for the liberal side, we get 2.128 for the most liberal staes and 2.1375 for the least liberal states.

Of the lowest 10 states, in 2012 real growth, how many are from the most conservative states listed?  States from the most conservative with % of Conservative in parantheses:
1.Wyoming (48.6)
2.Mississippi (48.2)
2 (t.) Alabama (50.6)
7. Missouri (41.5)
7 (t.). Montana (43.6)
9 (t.) Nebraska (45.3)

States from the least conservative on the bottom 10 with % of Conservative in parantheses:
4. New Jersey (32)
5. Hawai'i (31.9)
5 (t.). Maine (36.3)
9. Virginia (38.8)
9 (t.) New Mexico (38.8)

Average % of conservatives for the bottom 10: 41.418

Of the highest 10 states in 2012 real growh, how many are from the most conservative?
1. North Dakota (48.6)
3. West Virginia (43.9)
4. Texas (42.6)
7 (t.) Utah (48)

States from the least conservative in the top 10:
2. Oregon (33)
5. Alaska (37.4)
6. Massachusetts (28.3)
6 (t.) Michigan (35.7)
7. DC (20.5)
7 (t.). Connecticut (30.2)
7 (t.). Washington (32.9)
7 (t.). California (33.2)

Average % of conservatives for the top 10: 36.192

We'll do the same with liberal scores.

States from the bottom 10 with highest amount of liberals, % of liberals in parantheses:
4. New Jersey (26.5)
5. Hawai'i (27.7)
5 (t.) Maine (25)
7. Missouri (20.9)
9. New Mexico (23.3)

States from the bottom 10 with lowest amount of liberals, % of liberals in parantheses:
1. Wyoming (13.3)
2. Mississippi (15.4)
2(t.). Alabama (14.6)
7 (t.) Montana (16.9)
9. Virginia (20.4)
9 (t.). Nebraska (19.6)

Average % of liberals for states in the bottom 10: 20.327

States from the top 10 with highest amount of liberals, % in parantheses:
2. Oregon (29.3)
6. Massachusetts (30.5)
6 (t.). Michigan (23.3)
8. DC (40.8)
8 (t.). Connecticut (28.4)
8 (t.) Washington (28.3)
8 (t.). California (26.9)

States from the top 10 with lowest amount of liberals, % in parantheses:
1. North Dakota (14.7)
3. West Virginia (18.7)
4. Texas (19.4)
5. Alaska (16.1)
8 (t.). Utah (16.2)

Average % of liberals for states in the top 10: 24.383

Now let's look at the 10 most conservative states and see how they fare:
1. Alabama (50.6)
2. Wyoming (48.6)
2 (t.) North Dakota (48.6)
4. Mississippi (48.2)
5. Utah (48)
6. Oklahoma (47.3)
7. Idaho (47.1)
8. Louisiana (45.6)
9. Arkansas (45.3)
9 (t.). Nebraska (45.3)
Average real growth: 2.09

We'll look at the 10 most liberal states and see:
1. D.C. (40.8)
2. Massachusetts (30.5)
3. Oregon (29.3)
4. Vermont (29.2)
5. Connecticut (28.4)
5 (t.). Delaware (28.4)
7. Rhode Island (28.3)
7 (t.). Washington (28.3)
9. New York (27.7)
9 (t.). Hawai'i (27.7)
Average real growth: 2.48












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