Sunday, November 11, 2012

Why am I looking at 2008 exit polls instead of 2010

I don't know how predictive looking at mid-term elections are for looking at the next presidential election.  In my Political Behavior classes, we concluded that the out-party always significantly outperformed the in-party in the mid-term elections. Presidential elections always have higher turnout so you have a higher sample size and there's something to be said for comparing like things. 

So, just a few small reasons.

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