Friday, June 22, 2012

Tim Pawlenty: An update to Vice-Presidential Power Rankings

As I've noted before in the vice-presidential power rankings, my favorite to get the vice-presidential nomination from Mitt Romney is Marco Rubio.  There were conflicting reports, the other day, where the reports stated that Mitt Romney was both vetting and not vetting Rubio to get the vice-president nomination.  So here we are, with an update to the power rankings.

1. Marco Rubio- Rubio is still the favorite in my eyes. With President Obama's executive order to stop certain deportations, he has been accused of politicizing the issue.  Which he may have, since President Obama might need to court the Hispanic vote in order to win certain swing states, especially if he's pursuing the Western Strategy.  That's neither here nor there.  Romney has been talking about immigration and wouldn't you know who a big Republican speaker is about immigration issues? Marco Rubio. Rubio has denied interest in the vice-presidential nomination but that might just be part of the process.  Rubio may have slipped in some people's eyes but without a clear cut favorite to pass him, he holds on to the top spot.

2. Rob Portman- Portman was descirbed in the Los Angeles Times as one of the safe picks for Romney.  The Los Angeles Times described that Romney might be inclined to make a safe pick for his vice-president instead of making a risky pick such as Sarah Palin.  Portman would indicate that Romney is willing to work hard on the issues with another hard worker such as Portman.  The problem, according to the Los Angeles Times, is that the earliest favorite for the nomination is almost never selected.

3. Tim Pawlenty-Pawlenty has emerged as a favorite for the vice-presidential nomination accordint to Politico and other news sources including The New Yorker.  Pawlenty was one of the first to drop out of the Republican presidential nomination and has been a supporter of Mitt Romney ever since.  Pawlenty is the former governor of Minnesota, and historically, a presidential ticket is not usually made up of two governors.  A political blogger for the Washington Post does not see Pawlenty as the vice-presidential nomination, either.  I'm noting him, here, because he has been in the news the last few days.

4. Susana Martinez- As I've noted previously, the aide in charge of the vice-presidential search did note that they are going to bring some diversity to the presidential race on the Republican side.  Martinez is the governor of New Mexico. She was the first female governor of New Mexico and the first Hispanic governor of the United States. She would certainly qualify as bringing diversity to the ticket.  She responded early that she was not interested in the job. I guess that's part of the process.  So, I'm not sure where to put her. The problem with her is that she's not used to the national spotlight which is something Romney stated he wanted.  She is also a governor which makes her unlikely to be a part of the ticket, due to historical precedent.  She is controversy free, as far as I can tell, so that could be interesting.  She could also potentially help get the women vote and get the Hispanic vote, both demographics would help Romney win the election.

5. Paul Ryan- outspoken Republican who could certainly be on the attack as a vice-presidential candidate.  He is used to the national spotlight and has relatively high name recognition.  The major problems that I see if Romney chooses him is Ryan can be criticized about Medicare and Medicaid being slashed out of the budget which he already was by Democrats.  Unfairly, as I always add.  Additionally, Ryan might not stand with Romney on all the issues and might be outspoken about issues that does not need to be brought up or that Romney does not want to brought up. He is a bit of a wild card and is not seen as a safe pick.

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